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BEIJING, Oct. 22 -- China will announce its
unemployment rate using the investigation method starting from the latter half
of next year to replace the current urban registered unemployment index.
And one economic researcher said the announced figure
using the new method will be more accurate even though it may be twice as high
as the one currently provided.
Yu Xiuqin, spokeswoman for the Beijing Municipal
Bureau of Statistics, told China Daily that authorities began using the
investigation method to calculate the unemployment rate in 2000, but the figure
has never been made public.
A sample survey of the employment situation will be
conducted next month throughout the country together with the census, the
National Bureau of Statistics said.
China has been calculating the urban registered
unemployment rate since 1994, but overseas critics have challenged the figure's
accuracy.
Some experts in China said one reason is that only
those who registered with the government were included in the unemployment
figures, pointing out that most of the unemployed residents failed to register.
Economic researchers say they believe the new
unemployment rate will be more accurate.
"The unemployment index calculated through
investigation will be much bigger than the current urban registered unemployment
rate," Yu said.
"The change was done to follow international
practices."
She said the commencement date for the new
calculation would start sometime after July 1.
The National Bureau of Statistics would not confirm
Yu's starting date.
"Announcement of the unemployment rate using the
investigation method still needs discussions among various government
departments," a bureau source said.
Wang Xiaolu, deputy director of the National Economic
Research Institute under the China Reform Foundation, told China Daily on Friday
that the country would benefit from a more accurate unemployment rate.
"The new unemployment rate using the investigation
method will mean more people will be covered by unemployment insurance," he
said.
Many unemployed people, such as some migrant
labourers and laid-off workers from State-owned enterprises, are not currently
covered by the insurance system, Wang said.
"I believe that the government will attach greater
importance to the issue then," he said, calling the registered unemployment
figure "a transitional one."
Wang predicted that if the figures using the
investigation method were announced, the number would be twice as high as the
current number.
The researcher said that the bigger unemployment rate
would not stir frustration among residents.
Wang also expressed his hope that a figure for what
he called insufficient employment in the countryside could be calculated, as
well.
"For example, a three-member family has farmland of
only 0.2 hectares. In fact, the land does not need that many labourers," he
explained.
Wang called for accelerated urbanization to solve the
problem of employment of rural migrants.
"It is necessary to close the gap between rural and
urban educational services," he said, "especially in occupational education."
(Source: China Daily) |