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BEIJING, Sept. 16 (Xinhuanet) -- China's economic
growth has averaged 9.5 percent over the past two decades, and the rapid pace of
economic change is likely to be sustained, said the Organization for Economic
Cooperation and Development (OECD) in its first Economic Survey on China issued
Friday.
"These gains have contributed not only to higher
personal incomes, but also to a significant reduction in poverty," the OECD
said.
"At the same time, the (Chinese) economy has become
substantially integrated with the world economy."
"A large part of these gains have come through
profound shifts in government policies, and reforms have allowed market prices
and private investors to play a significant role in production and trade."
A marked evolution in economic policies over the past
two decades has led to a long period of sustained economic expansion, and
China's national income has been doubling every eight years and this has been
reflected in the reduction of the poverty rate to much lower levels, according
to the OECD survey.
"By some accounts, over half of the reduction in
absolute poverty in the world between 1980 and 2000 occurred in China."
Considerable challenges face China's economy, not the
least of which is a rapid increase in the age of the population, but continued
evolution of economic policies, especially in the areas of the allocation of
capital, labor mobility, urbanization and the creation of an improved framework
for the development of the private sector of the economy, should ensure that
this development momentum is sustained, it said.
Acknowledging China's
market economy status
China is already a country with a market economy,
said Korom Zay, director of Country Studies Economic Department of the
Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) on Friday.
Korom Zay made the remark at a press conference where
the OECD publicized its first Economic Survey on China.
According to Korom Zay, China's private economy
accounts for two thirds of the national economy, almost the same as that of
Britain before Margaret Thatcher, former prime minister launched her famous
reform to change most state-owned enterprises into private ones in early 1980s.
Before Thatcher's reform, Britain had already been a
recognized market economy country, so China is also a market economy country, he
said.
China's economic growth has averaged 9.5 percent over
the past two decades, and the rapid pace of economic change is likely to be
sustained, said the OECD in its first Economic Survey on China.
"These gains have contributed not only to higher
personal incomes, but also to a significant reduction in poverty," the OECD
said.
"At the same time, the (Chinese) economy has become
substantially integrated with the world economy."
"A large part of these gains have come through
profound shifts in government policies, and reforms have allowed market prices
and private investors to play a significant role in production and trade."
Economy to slow down to
9.0 pct in 2005
China's economic growth is expected to witness a very
slight slowdown to 9.0 percent in 2005 and rebound to 9.2 percent next year, the
OECD said in the new report.
The slowdown is the result of further weakening of
investment owing to continued administrative control in targeted industries and
completion of projects that started before the tightening, according to the
report.
"Private consumption will likely remain robust, and
external demand is also likely to be strong, " says the report. "Imports, on the
other hand, are expected to slacken."
The report projects that inflation in China will
climb to 4.0 percent this year and remain the same growth rate in 2006.
"Inflationary pressure may arise from the
pass-through of depreciation in the effective exchange rate and the rise in
intermediate goods prices, " says the report.
"But the increase in capacity due to strong
investment and hence rapid accumulation of capital stock will limit further
acceleration in inflation," says the report.
According to the report, the policy stance will
continue to be tight in 2005. Tax revenue is expected to remain buoyant, and the
budget deficit will likely to decrease further.
Monetary policy will also be tighter with the central bank reducing its target for the growth of the money stock by two percentage points, says the report.
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