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LONDON, Sept. 6 (Xinhuanet) -- Iran is at least five years away from acquiring
enough material for a nuclear weapon, a London-based think tank said on Tuesday.
"If Iran threw caution to the wind, and sought a nuclear weaponcapability
as quickly as possible without regard for internationalreaction, it might be
able to produce enough highly enriched uranium for a single nuclear weapon by
the end of this decade," said John Chipman, director of London's International
Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS).
At a press launch of the report titled "Iran's Strategic Weapons Programs
-- A Net Assessment," Chipman said that unanticipated technical problems would
lengthen the process.
It was more likely that Iran would try to accumulate productioncapability
over a longer period -- 10 to 15 years, said Gary Samore, editor of the report.
The assessment report of Iran's strategic weapons program came just two
weeks before the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) will discuss whether
to refer Iran to the UN Security Council, a move which could trigger sanctions
on the Islamic country.
"Our assessment is technical. The most interesting discussion is about
political calculations and how Iran weighs the risks and benefits of acquiring
nuclear weapons capability," Samore told reporters.
Samore said the US would have a serious debate about military strikes if
the Security Council failed to persuade Iran to freeze its program.
"It will be important to apply international diplomacy in a waythat does
not inspire Iran to abandon all restraint and seek a nuclear weapons
capability," Chipman added.
"Iran's nuclear option is not imminent...Rather than dash for abomb, Iran
may seek gradually to acquire a much more substantial nuclear production
capability over a decade or more before it decides whether to exercise a weapons
option." said Chipman.
Iran has been under international pressure since it resumed uranium
conversion activities in the central city Isfahan on Aug. 8 and rejected the
EU's comprehensive proposal to solve the issue.
Tehran has repeatedly stressed that it will never give up its legal rights
including uranium enrichment activities but will continue to cooperate with the
international community.
The US accuses Iran of developing nuclear weapons under the disguise of
civil usage, a charge rejected by Tehran.
On Sunday, Iran rejected an EU warning of referring its nuclearcase to the
Security Council if Tehran did not stop sensitive nuclear activities. Enditem
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