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””WASHINGTON, Aug. 24 (Xinhuanet By Zhao Yi ) -- A stronger China
does not mean it becomes a threat to the United States and the Asian country's
rapid development is to the benefit of the whole world, including America, a US
scholar says.
Michael Swaine, an expert on US-China military and
security policy at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, a leading
think-tank in the United States, paid tribute to China's rapid growth.
"It is to the benefit of the world, to the benefit of
Asia and to the benefit of the United States for China to be continuing to grow,
to expand economically, to become more prosperous, to become, as a result
hopefully, more stable and more involved in the international community," Swaine
told Xinhua in a recent interview.
"I myself don't believe that if China is becoming a
larger power with more capability, ... it by definition becomes a threat to the
United States," Swaine said.
"If China's growth were to falter, or it began to
decline or to break up, I think that many Americans would believe that this
would be a very negative consequence for the region, for the world and for the
United States. It will produce all kinds of difficulties," said Swaine.
Swaine noted that the United States and China have
"cooperative, convergent and overlapping interests" in many areas.
"They want peace, stability and prosperity in Asia.
They want the maintenance of basically market centered economies in Asia. They
want to have free access to critical economic products, such as energy. They
want to solve peacefully certain problems in the region such as the Korean
Peninsula issue, the problems of the Middle East, and the Taiwan issue."
But he also admitted there are certain areas that
could become "very conflictual" between the United States and China and said the
US-China relationship is probably the most complicated bilateral relationship in
the world.
"It combines elements of competition and suspicion
with elements of cooperation and some level of trust although the levelof the
trust is far too low for what it should be," said Swaine.
However, the scholar stressed that "it is not
inevitable that alarger China will be equal to a predominantly threatening China
that could lead to a confrontation or conflict" with the United States.
The potentiality of conflict between the United
States and China could be averted "through very continuous steady management and
engagement by the two sides over a range of the issues that may develop
differences about," he said.
Actually, Swaine said, efforts are underway right now
by the US and Chinese governments to try to really expand and deepen the
dialogue at the senior levels of government to explicitly discuss the areas
where they might disagree or agree on strategic questions. "That kind of
discussion is essential."
On the US objection to arms sales by some countries
to China, Swaine criticized the US blockade as "not logical." "the United States
does not have a good metric by which to measure what is or is not acceptable in
terms of increased Chinese military capabilities," he said.
On the Taiwan issue, Swaine said it is a "very
uncertain" factor in the US-China relationship.
"It could be sustained with relatively tolerable
levels of stability for quite some time to come," said Swaine.
But he added that the Taiwan issue, which is closely
linked to the development of the Sino-American relationship, could become a
critical factor. "If Sino-American relations are very bad, then the ability to
maintain the stability of Taiwan could become much more difficult."
Michael E. O'Hanlong, a senior fellow of the
Brookings Institution, echoed some of Swaine's views on China's growth.
"As China gets richer, it gets more militarily
capable, which is worrisome... Yet it also liberalizes and becomes more
integrated into the world community, which is promising," O'Hanlong said in a
separate interview with Xinhua.
"The big question for Americans is, which of these
trends is stronger, and which will dominate the other. Our strategy overall is
to assume the more optimistic outcome, and try to help China develop, which of
course is also good for our own standard of living," he said.
"The best bet is to hope engagement and development
will make China prosperous, peaceful, and cooperative," O'Hanlong said. Enditem
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