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BEIJING, Aug. 15 (Xinhuanet) -- China's RMB exchange
rate has remained relatively stable three weeks after the country surprised the
world by abruptly appreciating its currency, the yuan, by a moderate 2.1 percent
on July 21.
; On Aug. 10, Zhou Xiaochuan,
governor of China's central bank, the People's Bank of China (PBC), announced in
Shanghai that the US dollar, euro, Japanese Yen and the won of the Republic of
Korea constitute the basket of currencies that will act as a reference in
determining the value of the RMB.
The move is aimed at reducing market expectations and
reducing the uncertainties caused by expectations for further appreciation of
the yuan, said Dr. Cao Honghui with the Financing Institute of the Chinese
Academy of Social Sciences.
Ever since the revaluation of RMB, the yuan had
closed at the highest level of 8.1128 and the lowest level of 8.0980 against one
US dollar, fluctuating at around 8.11.
This showed that the yuan may either increase or
decrease in value after the reform and not always appreciate as some people had
expected before the revaluation.
Economists here said it is not easy for China to keep
the yuan stable in consideration of the overseas expectations for further
appreciation of the RMB, as overseas funds and "hot money" are reportedly
anticipating China's further revaluation of the yuan.
"Whether China can reduce the impact of speculative
capital inflow on the revaluation of the yuan determines not only the timing for
China to take further moves to liberalize its exchange system, but also the
success and failure of the current reform," said Li Yang, director of the
Financial Institute of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences.
Last week, the PBC adopted two more measures in a bid
to support the RMB exchange rate reform, including allowing designated banks to
sell foreign currencies to customers in a longer term and introducing swaps to
the interbank market to better provide risk management tools.
Additionally, the State Administration of Foreign
Exchange raised the limit on the foreign currencies accounts of current accounts
of domestic institutions and the limits on the purchase of foreign currencies by
Chinese individuals for personal use.
Analysts believe that the flexible exchange rate
brings new uncertainties and increases business risks. They called on
Chineseenterprises to enhance risk awareness and to adapt to the change as
quickly as possible.
They warned that both Chinese banks and enterprises
face more risks with the reform of the RMB exchange rate. Chinese enterprises
should make adjustments in financial management, product development and
marketing as soon as possible.
Experts warned that although the current situation is
under the control of the central bank, it will face a more complicated job in
the future if the country's trade surplus continues, hot moneykeeps flowing into
China, or if there are changes in the country's macro-control policy.
The central bank said in its second quarter report
that any further revision to the yuan exchange rate would depend on the
financial environment with reference to the basket of currencies.
It pledged to maintain the "normal floatation" of the
exchange rate and reiterated that it would also maintain the currency at a
reasonable and balanced level.
The Chinese yuan had been pegged to the US dollar at
a stable rate of about 8.27 to 1 for years before the sudden appreciation last
month.
Chinese leaders have said on several occasions that
it is a complicated job to reform the exchange rate regime and should be done
gradually. Enditem |