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BERLIN, August 9 (Xinhuanet) -- The Pentagon's report on China's military power
published last month is "misleading" and China does not pose a military
threat to any other nation, former German Chancellor Helmut Schmidt told Xinhua
in a recent interview.
"Some parts and some elements of the Pentagon Report are correct. For instance
it is correct to state that the PRC (the People's Republic of China) appears
focused on preventing Taiwan's independence and also to underline this
statement by quoting the 'Anti-Secession Law of March 2005," Schmidt said.
"It is as well correct to state that 'against the background ofthe policy of
peaceful reunification PRC has not renounced the use of force.' It is as well
correct to state that 'China's ability toproject conventional military power
beyond its periphery remains limited,'" Schmidt added.
However, Schmidt stressed that the US report is misleading. "As an assessment
of 'the military power of the PRC,' the report is misleading because it
lacks any information (with the unimportant exception of Taiwan) about countervailing
military capabilities in the region, as for instance US, North
Korean (the Democratic Republic of Korea) and Japanese military forces."
In its 52-page report, the Pentagon said that China, if current trends
persists, could pose a military threat to other countries in the region.
"The report thereby intentionally lets the PRC appear as a giant military force.
As far as the report deals with the so-called strategic capabilities (long-range
nuclear missiles) of China, the absence of a comparison with the overwhelming
superiority of US strategic capabilities obviously serves the same
purpose. Plus of course: also the US have not renounced the use offorce."
The Pentagon report says it does not know the full size of China's military
expenditure and mentions their estimates which "put it at two or three times the
officially published figures."
"The latter estimate is certainly an extravagant exaggeration,"Schmidt
said.
"Many countries, including PRC and also USA, are not publishingthe actual
amounts which they spend for defense purposes. In most cases part of it is
accounted not in their defense budget but elsewhere - if at all," he said.
"On top of that international comparisons are difficult becauseof
manipulated or extorted exchange rates. I therefore have since decades relied on
the analyses of the London-based International Institute of Strategic Studies
(IISS)."
According to the "rather dependable source" of the book The Military
Balance published by IISS in 2003, China's defense expenditure reached 56
billion US dollars and that of the US reached 405 billion dollars, Schmidt said.
Japan, France, UK did each spend a little more than 40 billion US dollars.
"Thereby the Chinese military expenditure appears as the second largest in the
world, but it is only a small fraction of the US military expenditure."
"On the other hand the Chinese nation is more than four times larger than
the American nation (and ten times larger than Japan, twenty times larger than
France or the UK).
"Accordingly, the Chinese military spending per capita of its inhabitants
stood at 43 dollars, Japan reached 337 dollars, the USeven reached 1,390
dollars.
"Given the fact that PRC has thousands of miles of continental boarders
with a great number of neighbors whilst the US have just two immediate neighbors
and Japan has none, and given the fact of enormous Amercian military power in
East Asia, in the Pacific and in the Indian Ocean plus Central and West Asia,
the Chinese military set-up does appear to me as rather moderate."
Speaking of China's future development, Schmidt said China willbe a
developing country in a few decades even with a rapid economic growth.
"China is an emerging economic world power. But whilst within avery few
decades it will be the second largest economy it will still be a developing
country, due to the profound poverty that had characterized PRC until Deng
Xiaoping opened his country to foreign trade and started economic modernization
25 years ago," hesaid.
It may well take another 25 years until China can overcome all the
remaining problems and reach first class standards in scientific research and in
high technology, he added.
"All these future developments will need not only enormous effort and
energy but as well will domestic stability and peace vis-a-vis the outside world
remain a sine qua non," he affirmed.
"After having known all the top Chinese statesmen from Mao Zedong onwards,
I am quite confident that also the present leadership is convinced of this
necessity," said Schmidt, who cameto China in 1975 as the first West German
chancellor to visit the country.
"I expect them to be very cautious and restrained in words and actions in
relation to other nations, even in cases of rude provocation.
"In my evaluation China is therefore not a military threat to any other
nation."
"But economically it will become a fierce competitor for all the industrialized countries -- due to the Chinese people's high intelligence quotient, its diligence and contendedness," he noted. Enditem |