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¡¡CHONGQING, June 27 (Xinhuanet) -- Despite widespread
rumors about appreciation of Chinese currency, Renminbi (RMB) yuan, a noted
Chinese economist said he believes the exchange rate of RMB will remain stable
in the short term.
At an economic forum in southwest China's Chongqing
Municipality, Lin Yifu, a professor at the Beijing University, warned people
against blindly speculation in RMB.
"The yuan should maintain a stable exchange rate in
the short term, though it is certain to revalue in the long run given the robust
development of the Chinese economy and roaring productivity," said Lin, director
of China Center for Economic Research of Beijing University, in an exclusive
interview with Xinhua during the 2005 Annual Conference of Chinese Economists
Society.
The three-day event closed here on Sunday.
"A well-managed floating exchange rate has proven
favorable to the developing countries," he said.
The yuan is currently pegged at 8.28 to one US dollar
and Chinahas come under pressure from trade partners, mainly the United States
and the European Union, for changing an exchange rate that is seen as giving its
exporters an unfair advantage.
But Lin said the US trade deficit will not go down
even with yuan's appreciation because the essential causes of the trade deficit
are low savings rate, high overdraft and financial deficits of the US
government.
"If the RMB appreciates in value, the US will either
pay more to buy Chinese products or turn to other exporting countries wherelabor
costs are lower," he said.
US Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan admitted
on Thursdaythat there is "no credible evidence" US manufacturing activity or US
factory jobs would be helped by China revamping its currency system.
On the other hand, Lin said China should not yield to
external pressure to revalue its own currency in a hurry. "The exchange rate
system reform should accord with China's domestic conditions," he said.
Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao told European finance
officials on Sunday it is the "common understanding" around the world that every
country is entitled to choose the exchange rate mechanism and policy suitable to
its own national conditions.
"Keeping RMB exchange rate basically stable at a
reasonable andbalanced level is in the interests of economic development not
only in China but also in neighboring countries and region as a whole, and
contributes to world financial stability and expansion of trade," Wen said in
his keynote speech at the opening ceremony of the Sixth ASEM Finance Ministers'
Meeting. Enditem |