|
VIENNA, Sept. 15 (Xinhuanet) -- OPEC decided at its ministerial meeting here Wednesday
to increase its oil production ceiling by 1million barrels a day beginning
Nov. 1, but the decision will have little real impact on the high oil
prices.
The rise is not of real significance. Oil prices on the international
market have been soaring since early this year and reached a record high in
mid-August. Under the situation, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting
Countries (OPEC) no longer demands that members abide by its production quota
limit and the production capacity in most of the members has already reached or
is close to their limit.
Actually, all the OPEC countries, except Iraq, have already exceeded the
new output limit to reach 27.3 million barrels per day, 300,000 barrels more
than the new quota of 27 million barrels.
The new production ceiling will only serve to legitimize the
over-production of the cartel members.
Iranian Oil Minister Bijan Namdar Zanganeh said Wednesday that the quota hike
is a signal to the market, not a change in the total output. He expected the
signal will produce a "psychological effect" on the market.
In fact, the ministerial meeting provided a space for keeping the oil prices
high as it failed to agree on upgrading the price band mechanism due to differences
among the OPEC member countries. As a result, OPEC is to hold an
extraordinary meeting in Cairo on Dec. 10 to discuss the issue.
The group has been implementing the price band of 22 to 28 US dollars a
barrel since 2000 and is expected to adjust the upper end of the range to 30
dollars or higher, which means OPEC will give up its four-year price band
policy.
With this adjustment, OPEC's oil prices will stand at a high level for a long period
of time and the world oil market will also enter an era of high oil prices,
which will have a major impact on oil consumer countries and the world
economy.
However, oil prices are expected to drop a little while the global market
is waiting for OPEC's next action.
The world's voracious demand for oil, the extremely thin margin of spare
output capacity in the OPEC member countries, the destruction of the oil
facilities in Iraq and the crisis in Russia's oil giant Yokos have led to the
high prices.
In mid-August, oil prices were once close to 50 dollars per barrel in the
international market. And the prices could become higher for fears of supply
disruption and market speculation.
OPEC President Yusgiantoro Purnomo warned against
over-production at the time when prices soared due to political tensions, which
pushed the prices up by 10 to 15 dollars a barrel.
At present, there exists the possibility of a price drop as the tension
between oil demand and supply reduces. But such a drop will unlikely be the
result of the new quota policy. Enditem |