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US scientists predict quake in California desert
www.chinaview.cn 2004-02-10 08:21:52

    LOS ANGELES, Feb. 9 (Xinhuanet) -- A team of US scientists expects a 6.4 magnitude or larger temblor in the Southern California desert by Sept. 5, the Los Angeles Times reported on Monday.

    Led by Vladimir Keilis-Borok, a scientist from University of California in Los Angeles (UCLA), the team has been predicting quakes within certain timeframes and geographic regions. That has led to criticism that their work is not precise enough to be useful, but others see it as significant progress in the science.

    The team gained visibility last December, when a 6.5-magnitude quake hit near San Simeon, California. That's within the 310-mile stretch of California that the team last June predicted would see a quake of magnitude 6.4 or larger within nine months.

    The Los Angeles Times report said that the team's predictions are based on perceived "chains" of small earthquakes that are comparable to past patterns preceding larger quakes in the same area. Enditem

    

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