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BANGKOK, Oct. 17 (Xinhuanet) -- The impact of the outbreak of Severe Acute
Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) on the economic development in the Asia-Pacific
Economic Cooperation (APEC) economies was "serious," but "not overwhelming,"
said an APEC report issued here on Friday.
"The economic cost has been estimated to be in the range from 0.5 percent
to 1.0 percent of annual GDP (gross domestic product) growth for many of the
economies of the APEC region," said the report by the APEC Economic Committee.
It noted that as the SARS outbreak was uneven in its incidence,the economic
impact had also been unequal across sectors.
As the fear of contracting disease causing people to reduce contact with
others, the first impacts were the reduction in travel and tourism industries.
Among countries that the tourism sector played an important role in
national economy, the outbreak of SARS had a relatively stronger impact on the
GDP growth, according to the report.
Quoting the Asian Development Bank's estimate of the SARS impact on GDP
growth, the report pointed out that the outbreak of SARS would cause relative
higher loss of GDP growth of Malaysia and Thailand though there were no cases
reported in the two countries.
GDP growth of Malaysia and Thailand were estimated to reduce 0.6 percent
and 0.7 percent respectively due to the fact that tourism accounts for a very
high share of GDP in the two economies.
Singapore's economy was also hard hit, with the travel and tourism sector
particularly hurt. The sector reported a 67 percentdecline of visitors in April,
when the epidemic was at height of outbreak. The city state's GDP growth was
estimated to decline by 1.1 percent.
In China, which reported high infected cases, the estimated reduction of
GDP growth was only 0.2 percent.
It's because trade and investment, the main driver of China's economy, were
less impacted by SARS, while the tourism sector carried a relatively low weight
in China's economy.
The report went on to say that "the overall economic situation in China is
still very robust" despite a significant decline in the second quarter growth.
Besides the tourism sector, SARS also had a negative effect on consumer
confidence. But the report affirmed that overall investment, industrial output
and international trade had been little affected by SARS.
The report quoted the World Health Organization's warning as saying that
the resurgence of SARS remained a distinct possibility.
The APEC region accounted for 99 percent of SARS cases, and 99 percent of
SARS-related deaths worldwide. Enditem
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