SHANGHAI, May 10
(Xinhuanet) -- Asia's aging populations may hinder the region's economic
development, warned Robert Hormats, vice-chairman of Goldman Sachs
(International), Friday. For many Asian nations, meeting the
"compelling challenge" would be critical to economic growth and social
stability, he told a seminar at the annual Asian Development Bank (ADB) board
meeting. Many populations would age considerably in the next 15
years, creating a growing number of retirees, Robert Hormats
said. Shaukat Aziz, Minister of Finance of Pakistan, and
Yashwant Sinha, Indian Minister of Finance, also discussed the aging issue
in their speeches. The Indian minister analyzed the changes
in the structure of population in both the world and Asia, saying that the
problem of aging would have a significant impact on regional economic
development. The Pakistani minister believed the problem was
predominant in East Asia which was witnessing a declining working-age
population. Unless it moved away from labor-intensive
manufacturing to technology-intensive industries, East Asia could experience
relatively lower growth in the future, he said. According to
estimates of the United Nations, by 2050 the number of people aged 60 years
and older is expected to reach 1, 227 million, accounting for 23 percent of
the total, compared with the present 338 million and nine percent.
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